LATEST: 6 / 21 / 2009
The coldest and wettest winter I ever spent, was a June in New Jersey....
Aloha,
Welcome to Summer!? I have to admit, this is one of the wackiest weather patterns I've seen in years. Not only is New Jersey teatering on 3x's the normal rainfall for the month, but were seeing a more fall/winter like pattern over N. america? Where the hell is da Southern Jet????? Moreover, we've almost seen more days with highs in the 60's than the 70s and certainly the 80s. In fact, so far this month, we have not seen one 90 degree day!!
Okay, so where am I going with this? My point is the pattern is so displaced and outta whack, that I'm actually watching the low that moved of da Jersey shore this Father's Day morning(happy Father's Day Dads), for potential Nor'easter development??? C'mon it's June!!!
Although this low will probably not develop that mighty cold-core cyclone stylee that Nor'easter's have, but I find it very, very interesting that this low is actually gonna retrograde(move back) toward the NJ Coast and keep some sort of swell in da picture for Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday. At this point, not only are the weather models terrible, swell models aint much better...we haven't seen many June patterns like this, so not only are forecasters scratching their heads, but so are the models. Best bet? check the Reports Section frequently, as our June Gloom will continue for a couple more days.
Hey, at least there's surf!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
6 / 13 / 2009
June continues it's lackluster performance...
Aloha,
Is it Summer already? 'Cause the Summer doldrums have appeared to set in early this year! Look for small scale surf for the upcoming week, with a better chance for rideable surf towards the end of the week. A couple of lows move off the Carolina Coast in the next few days and will enhanc the surf potential for June 18-20th. Although these lows are not exactly macking, they will be strong enough to get the swell machine cranking. If were lucky, we may even see a head high bump by the 19th or 20th.
If your wondering why this June has been so wet and cool, it's because the Northern Jet has been the dominate player in the upper air game. Weather aside, it's also the reason we can't get the very wave friendly Southern Jet cranking. We need the Southern Jet to start bumpin' and grinding....thus far she's been limp lol...
We'll let you know when the atmosperic Viagra kicks in!
Waves coming...go Sup until then.
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
6 / 4 / 2009
It's June and it seems like were in the summer wave doldrums!
Aloha,
May certainly wasn't a bounty of surf for us and June isn't starting off that well either. However, it seems like our flat spell will be coming to an end with a fairly strong area of low pressure moving in our direction. I'd be happier if this low moved off da Carolina Coastline, however it appears that the low will cruise up to NJ from the Tennessee Valley and not start generating much swell until the storm is over us.
The above scenario begins tomorrow, Friday, June 5th with cranking East Winds and a onshore build throughout da day. Although this system may yield a late day clean-up, I seriously doubt it will be any better than fairly clean. Although tomorrow's evening session will definately be bigger, early Saturday will certainly yield much cleaner(albeit smaller) surf.
Top spots on optimum tides could see up to a head high, short period, storm surf swell tomorrow. Saturday will feature will feature a waist to chest high bump early, with swell size dropping throughout da day. Keep an eye on the winds, cause once this puppy starts to cruise outta here, we have a shot at NWesterlies on da backside of da departing low....
This will likely be our only shot at swell over the next week, so get it while da getting's good!
Stoked to ride!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
5 / 12 / 2009
April provided the goods, but will May catch up?
Aloha,
After a very good April(wave wise of course), it looks like May may turn on a little bit this week/weekend. We actually have two seperate systems heading our way. The first storm is kinda a quick hitter and will likely only produce a chest high bump for us as we roll into Thursday. Strong South Winds will help drive in a nice South swell for later Thursday Afternoon. This windswell is the by-product of a strong low moving through the Upper-Midwest and an Offshore High parked South of Newfoundland. The combination of these two systems really cranks up da atmospheric rubber band and spins some fun windswell in our direction. Get it while you can, this puppy aint gonna be around long.
Swell number two comes later in the weekend and into early next week. The system is way more complex and multi-faceted. It begins with cold front that stalls South of NJ(thus becoming stationary) over the weekend and acts as a focusing mechanism for many disturbances to ride along. By Monday, peristant onshore winds should build in a sloppy head high swell. At this point it's still a little tough to pinpoint the best periods of rideability, but it's looking like at Monday at the earliest on this next one and perhaps even later-stay tuned for more details!
My quad needs some lovin'! Let's get ready to ride!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
4 / 22 / 2009
Get it while it last's...cause wave killer # 1 sets back up...
Aloha,
As I write April is continuing it's wave producing ways with some really fun this coming in this morning. This South swell will continue to pump all day on this Earth day! Hopefully you'll get some while it lasts.
The outlook is not looking so promising with a rideg of High pressure building in. This ridge is fueled by the quasi-Bermuda High which will really put the Kabosh on any wave chances over the weekend. Summertime weather coupled with Summertime temepratures means that we pretty much see near flat conditions from Friday-Tuesday.
All for now..just a quick update. Go get some today!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
4 / 14 / 2009
Tax day may loom, but so does a great swell!
Aloha,
Well it looks like were in business as a coastal low is expected to move off the Delmarva by Wednesday the 15th(tomorrow). This low is actually part of a much larger system which will keep rain and dreary conditions in the forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday. These multiple lows will help to develop strong cyclogenesis and thus a persistent, onshore ENE fetch. Because of the length of the build and the persitent fetch, we'll certainly see some beach errosion and a pretty strong sweep. Other than South Jersey, our winds with this system are not that accomodating at least until midday in Thursday. Even then, I think with the sweep, it's gonna be really hard to find good rideability. Although it will be right around head high, it looks like Friday Morning in Monmouth and Ocean Counties(As well as LI) will be your best bet. Look for head high sized surf with much cleaner WNW winds...
Now, for our friends and road warriors willing to make the trip to S. Jersey(right around AC) you will likely see bigger surf and a quicker clean-up thanks to more of a South facing shoreline. Look for head high to head high and a half sized surf for Thursday with a much more groomed NE swell. Hum, I can think of a few spots which may reel ......
All for now...nice swell on the way. Oh and you goofyfooters, this one's for you!
Stoked,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
3 / 26 / 2009
March continues to produce....
Aloha,
Now that winter is officially over we have begun that "pseudo" season which I love so much: the transition season.
While we "transition" from Winter and into Spring the upper air patterns and more importantly, the jetstreams are starting to gyrate more than a Britanny Spears Video! We basically need these fast moving rivers of air to swing wildly, because when they do we reap the benefits!
Okay, lets get down to the nitty gritty. We have a couple of shots at surf over the next few days. The swell event is basically intertwined, but we have a shot for surf both Saturday and Sunday. Saturday's swell is more Northeasterly which should light up a couple well know Monmouth County spots. Granted, neither swell will be big but some chest high bombies will likely be had.
On Sunday that stalled cold front moves out to sea and we see more of a SSW and thus crossing up the swell a tad. Okay, so does one go Sat or Sun or both? At this point it all depends on how clean Saturday's swell is. At first glance, it looks like Sunday will be cleaner and thus smaller, but I'm not ready to write off Saturday yet either-especially being a goofyfooter in NJ! Make sure to check to Reports Page for the latest on both of these swells. All for now, weekend warriors rejoice!
Stoked,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
3 / 9 / 2009
March starts off on a high note...
Aloha,
Now that February is in the books and we've already had a couple swells thus far in March, it appears that March will continue it's wave producing ways. As the Northern Jet dominated winter weather pattern is ending, our good friend, the Southern Jet is awakening.
This week our best bet will be on Wednesday. Look for building conditions beginning on Tuesday as onshore winds start to pump in a fun windbump. By Wednesday, our winds go SW which should help to groom things a bit. Perhaps we'll have a few leftovers for early Thursday, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it.
As mentioned previously, the overall upper air pattern is starting to change and I'm confident that our buddy, the Southern Jet will be Shore to Please!
All for now. Keep checking the reports page for "eyes on" , real-time reports.
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 20 / 2009
Our Nation has a new President, but when will we get another swell?
Aloha,
After a very long(at least seems that way) and mostly waveless January thus far, it seems like our weather pattern has been dominated by the dam Northern and Polar Jetstream. This polar flow has been so non-conducive to storm development, we've seen nothing except for a couple of quick hitting clipper systems(which don't kick up surf anyway). It now appears that were gonna have to wait until the end of the month to get some good cyclogenesis and thus some surf. Although it looks like two seperate storms(January 29th) and Feb 1 will be born from a trough in the Northern Jet, the jet still gets tilted enough to go negative and thus that's a good thing for us! These negatively tilted troughs help to spin stronger and better wave making storms for us and hopefully this will be the case by the end of the month!
Still a tad early to really pinpoint specifics, but the early indications of the 29th Storm looks very promising in terms of strength-track is certainly another variable.
Stay tuned for updates as guidance gets a little better.
Let's put January behind us as soon as possible!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 14 / 2009
Duke wakes up from his coma, gets off his ass, and busts another Surfcast!
Aloha,
Wheeeeew...now that 2008 is over I'm amped and excited for a wave rich 2009! Unfortuneately, the current pattern will not be so accomodating. This brutally cold pattern, which is Northern and Polar Jetstream dominated, is so not conducive to cyclogenesis and storm development. I'd say in the short term take a ski or snowboard trip and hope for the pattern to unlock. However, it is January, which is our coldest month of the year.
The arctic air and near waveless pattern will continue through the weekend before we get some movement in the pattern and some improvements. Hunker down, make a fire, go skiing or boarding and hopefully by the end of the month we'll start to see some changes and improvements in the upper-air pattern.
All for now, expect to see more frequent Surfcasts in 2009.
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
12 / 25 / 2008
Merry Christmas!
Aloha,
On this special Dukestorm Holiday Edition Surfcast, it appears that we'll have some fun surf for the Christmas weekend. Following the fun swell of today(yes, I missed it too..but thanks to Jet1a for the pics!) we should be in business for a bigger and better swell on Sunday. Again, blowtorch Southwest winds really crank to pump in a fun bump for Sunday. At this point it doesn't appear that this swell will be huge, however a head high sized bump is certainly possible.
As we begin this new winter season it's nice to see that the Southern Jet has been overly active. This fast moving river of air has been responsible for some great twists and turns and thus storm development. We need those atmospheric gyrations to create storms and spin 'em in our direction. Let's hope the rockin' and rolling will continue into 2009!
To all of our loyal site users, it's been a pleasure serving you and we hope that www.dukestorm.com will continue to be your premiere surf forecasting and information website in the tri-state region for years to come.
Mahalo,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
12 / 12 / 2008
A great start to the weekend...
Aloha,
I'm finally back on a computer that works this morning, but access has been difficult. Okay, now back to the swell which is on tap for today, Friday,Decemeber 12. The fairly strong low which has brought us near 3" of rain into this morning, has finally moved outta here and the surf is just continuing to pump! Expect clean, firing head high conditions for the remainder of the afternoon. Although our winds will be offshore, they never really gust to point to where our swell gets beat into oblivion. So, I think we should still see a chest high swell for tomorrow, (Saturday) Morning.
Swell #2 is on tap for Tuesday as another South Swell maker gets geared up. This second swell is the direct result of a pretty decent SW fetch and not a much stronger offshore low. Although this swell will be fun, it's not gonna be huge-look for a chest to perhaps head high swell. Winds work on this one too, but the wind direction is a tad more NNW, thus making the winds more suitable for South facing beaches.
All for now, updates will be forthcoming.
We ride today!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
11 / 24 / 2008
Thanksgiving nears and so does the surf...
Aloha,
Well it seems that once again we'll have waves for Thanksgiving. Let's just hope the only 'stuffing' is on your dinner table! It should actually be a pretty wave filled week with (2) two good swell makers on the way.
The first swell comes compliments of warm air advection and an area of low pressure moving up the spine of the Appalachains. The low should intensify pretty well and produce head high surf on the backside of fairly vigorous South Winds. Look for the clean-up to come tomorrow aft with fun head high surf and a general SW Wind.
Okay, swell maker #2 really starts to build in late Thanksgiving and into the weekend. This system is much more dynamic and has better upper air support. Although the wheels of motion start late this week on this swell, it's really not unitl Saturday until we start to see the rideability really take shape.
Just a couple of notes: although these two swells are the highlight, it appears that we have a couple 'sneaker' swells or pulses cropping up for Wednesday(leftovers early...but lingering into Thursday?). So, at this point it looks like the only unrideable day will be Friday.....
All for now, have a great Thanksgiving week!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
11 / 15 / 2008
Another soggy Saturday will hopefully yield some leftovers for tomorrow...
Aloha,
Well a couple of quick hit wind swell events have cruised through Jersey since my last 'Cast. However, the best bet for next week comes tomorrow with the leftovers of today's event. As of Saturday afternoon(11/15) we are under a Tornado Watch, with a very dynamic storm system afoot. Basically the gusty South winds out ahead of a strong cold front will act to really rile things up around here. So, we've got a good build going on now before the cold front moves through-and that is where the problem lies. Although the offshore bouy's are likely to register swell heights near 10ft, much(hopefully not all) of that swell will be beaten down overnight. You see, once the cold front moves though, it will pass through with a vengeance. Look for howling West winds behind the front with winds speeds at 30kts. So, the moral of the story is this: Under less dynamic conditions we would have had the makings of a fantastic dp. However, given the timing of the cold front passage, and the time of year(fronts are stronger outside the summer), the "Skunk" factor is very high. I'd say we would be lucky to have a waist to chest high bump left for tomoorrow morning. Once again, if the front gets hung up, stalls or the winds don't howl as much as we think they will, than we might be left with a bigger wave for tomorrow's dp-ers....all depends on what happens tonight....
Fingers crossed for some leftovers!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
11 / 5 / 2008
The election is over and waves won out!
Aloha,
A developing storm system this morning off da Virgina/North Carolina Coast will gradually creep Northward over the next day or so. This developing low will bring with it some rain and help to build in a nice N/NE swell for Thursday and Friday. Although these gusty NE winds will make ride ability difficult for Thursday. At this point, it appears that Friday Morning will be go time for us. Although at it's peak, swell size on Thursday will top out at about a couple feet over head, Friday's swell size will drop 3 feet or so, but should be our best bet with head high sized surf and more accommodating winds. Although the winds early will not be truly offshore(more NW), it looks like Friday Morning will be our best bet.
Stay tuned for more details as the swell moves northward.
Get ready to ride!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
9 / 20 / 2008
Duke re-emerges after being kidnapped by oil wrestling midgets who mistook him for Joe Francis!
Aloha,
Hi remember me? I'm the guy that's been a bit mia lately-but that doesn't mean I've taken my eyes off da prize! Well lets get right too it on this Saturday. We do have surf on da way thanks in part to a building pressure gradient that will light up a nice NE Swell. Yup, that time of year again. Some will call it a dry Nor'Easter some will not. Semantics aside, were gonna get some surf! For my Monmouth County Peeps, you know what well known spots tend to break on the NE angle-stoked to actually surf to my frontside for a change!
A very strong area of High Pressure in Southern Canada coupled with a Low South of NJ will tag team to provide a pretty tight pressure gradient and thus some a building NE swell throughout the weekend. At this point it looks bigger later today but rideability will certainly improve by tomorrow as the winds should be offshore tomorrow(Sunday 9/21) morning!
Although the tropics are quiet, persistant NE/E winds will keep swell in our window and our shores all week long! The only question going forward this week is at which point or day will the winds cooperate? Make sure you check the Reports Page for eyes on observations.
Let's surf!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
5 / 21 / 2008
Weak outlook for the next few days...
Aloha,
After some really fun sessions in April, it appears that May is less than stellar. Sure we've had our quick hitting windswells, but the bigger, macking swells have not been nearly as forthcoming. So, do you want the good news or the bad news first? Let's start with the good.
As we head into Memorial Day Weekend, our weather looks fantastic. By Monday, high temps should be hitting 80 degrees! However, as many of you know by now, great weather often means poor surf-this go around included. A ridge of High Pressure builds over the EC and locks us into very nice weather, but weak, tiny surf. Look for wave heights in knee to maybe thigh high range for the holiday weekend, with perhaps top spots yielding a loggable/fishable bump on an incoming tide.
Yardwork anyone?
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
5 / 8 / 2008
Welcome to May!
After a slow couple of days in the beginning of the month, it now seems like the pattern has gotten much more progressive! The Northern Jet and subsequently a three part storm system has already begun to affect us. The first part of this system brought us the spotty showers with the cold front. The frontal passage was important, because it kinda opened the back door for this more progressive pattern. Okay...so now that the door's open, what next??
The second(Friday's swell maker) part will be a fairly innocous low building in a fun South swell. Look for wave heights in the chest to perhaps head high range. Tomorrow(Friday) is a pretty nasty day with gusty Easterly Winds and a very raw feel. I'd keep those 4mils handy and the gloves too for a friday seshie....speaking of which, I don't think the rideability is gonna be all that good.
Now, part three to a storm complex is the jewel in our wavemaking crown. This third low is a love-child born in the upper midwest as a result a digging, negatively tilted phased jet! Wow, if u thinks that's a lot to read and comprehend, just imagine how hard it was to articulate!!!
This love-child low has great upper-air support and appears to actually become "cut-off" from the phased jets which gave it life(kinda rude to bite the hand that feeds ya?). I love cut-off lows because they tend to sit and spin and produce oodles and oodles of surf for us. Hopefully, this will be the case once again as Monday's swell will surely linger into Tuesday. Oh ya, winds look SW for Monday, so some really fine, hollow offshore shacks will be found in NJ!
I'm waiting on new model "guidance" this evening, but will blog back as the weekend really starts to unfold.
All for now, the surf gods have been awakened!!
Let's ride,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
4 / 27 / 2008
April continues to produced for us...
Aloha,
As I've said many times before, it's always the "Transition" months that produce some of the best swells for us. In fact, April has been one of those months! I'm happy to say that it looks like we'll have one nice swell heading our way going into tomorrow(Monday).
A tight pressure gradient sets up as the result of a digging cold front and an offshore high. Although the upper-air environment is pretty good(trough looks more positively tilted than negatively) I think we have enough support to get the fetch machine going pretty well. The combination of these pressure systems will crank up some pretty good South winds and thus, a swell is born! Although this is not gonna be an epic swell, it will be chest to perhaps head high in many locations by later Monday. Ah, yes, speaking of Monday....pretty rainy and dreary throughout most of the day as the frontal system approaches NJ. I'm not gonna rule out some pretty strong storms(especially S. Jersey) where a Severe TStorm Watch will likely come up. So, keep and eye and ear to the sky if your gonna get on it later Monday Aft.
Looks like go time will be more like Tuesday DP session, but I think if the front is as progressive as I'm hoping, I'm gonna try for an evening glass off session Monday. High tide is around 2:00pm, so a lower tide should help a swell of this caliber out. Oh ya, I'm hoping for at least a SW wind by later tomorrow aft, so hopefully it will be an evening glass off session...
All for now, go get some!
Stoked,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
4 / 15 / 2008
ENE Swell to start filling in....
Aloha,
After a couple of really fun sessions late last week and the 'Bra Boys' NYC premiere Saturday Evening, it seems like the dust has finally settled a bit. So, let's get down to the nitty gritty.
As mentioned above, we have a pretty decent synoptic(think highs and lows) set-up over the Atlantic for the next few days. A developing offshore low is sandwiched between a Novia Scotia High and an another area of high pressure over the Gulf Coast will combine to create some Atlantic luv for us! This wave making trio will join forces to pump in some pretty good NE and then East winds from Tuesday onward. It's really not until we get to the weekend, that we have a grooming cold front to move through. At this point our best bet will likely be later Thursday afternoon or Friday. Thursday will be bigger with a head High E/NE swell, but Friday am with lighter winds has the potential to be cleaner.
Like last week, we do not have very cooperative winds, so seek some shelter and seek those spots that will work with a E/NE swell. All for now. Daily updates in your Quickcast.
Let's ride,
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
3 / 8 / 2008
Game on for Sunday...
Aloha,
Today's round of rough and wet weather will likely leave us with some fun surf for tomorrow(Sunday) morning. Once again, the big fly in da ointment are the winds. In fact, the system is so large, so dynamic, that isolated tornadoes are possible in the DelMarva and perhaps into Southern New Jersey. Very strong upper level winds running perpendicular to the surface winds, could act as a catalyst for isolated tornadoes. If not, I do expect some straightline wind damage as well. so, how does this affect our surf?
I think the point I'm getting to is that this system is so large and potent that our winds will likely howl offshore tonight and clean and beat the surf down. I still think your Sunday Am session is a good one, but topping out at about chest high or so.
If you like this rainy storm surf set up, we have almost a repeat performance coming our way as we roll into next weekend(March 14th). Yet another digging and phasing Northern Jet makes tracks for the Southern Jet-where the two phase nicely. Phasing jets and good upper-air support are really the genesis of many of our better wave making storm systems.
All for now..daily updates in your Quickcast.
Get ready to ride!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
3 / 1 / 2008
Boo-ya! March starts off Quite Well...
First off, my apologies again for less than stellar consistency with my Surfcast's during the last month. Lots of travel, work and kiddie patrol have all taken their toll,I am happy to say big daddy Duke is back with a passion!
Okay, sob story aside, let's get down to business. We have a couple of fine swell makers on the way for the first week of March. The first of which really starts on Wednesday as we are the recipients of strong Southerly Winds and a nice area of low pressure forming on the East Coast. This first swell has good upper-air support, and a nicely digging trough which seems like it gets negativey tilted-all good signs for a head high plus South Swell.
Swell number two comes later in the work week(Mar 6-7) as an even more impressive digging trough(the Northern Jet digs and phases with the Southern Jet dam near the Gulf of Mex!!!) really starts to get it's groove on. Although this upper-air band of fast moving winds seems almost straight up and down(as opposed to having any tilt or cant to it), we have very strong speed and directional sheer with this and thus lots of energy to work with. More energy, more wind, more fetch=more surf!!! This swell will be bigger, with set waves pushing head high and a half to some outside sets approaching dbl o on LI.
The best news is that from Tuesday/Wednesday through Friday and into Saturday it appears that we have consistant surf, with some periods of excellent rideability. Stay tuned to your Quickcast for daily updates!
All for now, lets get ready to ride some late winter juice!!!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 31 / 2008
February comes in with a bang!
Aloha,
Gonna be kinda short and sweet this morning as I'm running out the door to grab a flight. It looks like our best bet will come on Friday/Saturday for rideable surf. Strong low pressure to eject outta da Tennesee Valley over the next 24 hours and in doing so, NJ will get socked with soaking rains and gusty winds. This South Swell maker should be dynmaic enough to produce a head high to overhead sized swell. Timing is an issue right now, as I'm hoping that we can salvage part of Friday afternoon and get some decent rideability.
South Swell spots should all do well, but will especialy clean up after the low cruises through and our winds turn offshore. Keep an eye on the winds(our new link on the Tools Page-Wind Guru is fantastic)as we approach Friday and Saturday.
All for now, don't miss this swell as it should be one of the better ones.
Daily updates in your Quickcast.
Let's ride!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 22 / 2008
Duke comes out of coma and does another Surfcast!!!
Aloha,
So much for New Year's resolutions! My apologies to the loyal site users who have missed more frequent Surfcasts! Okay, lets get down to business.
looks like a rather weak outlook for the remainder of the week. The bright spot in the wave forecast is next Monday, January 28th. Yet another system is poised to affect us then when it slides along a phasing Southern Jet and up towards PA. Although this storm stays inland, the combo fetch between this inland low and a High off of Central Florida, should be enough for a fun bump. Looks like it's gonna take until the afternoon to clean-up, but we should end up with a chest high swell.
Swell #2 looks like it's on the way for early February(just as our Southern Jet really starts to get moving). I've said this numerous times before, but late February/March is a transition time for us and as a result, we often see the Southern Jet take some wild gyrations-we like gyrations!
All for now, but generally pretty lame until the 28th.
Daily updates in your Quickcast!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 8 / 2008
January setting up to be very interesting...
Aloha,
After a lackluster first week of January, it now seems that week two will be off to a very good start. Interestingly, it really isn't my girlfriend(southern jet!) that steps up her game: this time it's the Northern Jet that gyrates like a Shakira video!
The first swell comes Wednesday, Jan. 9th. This swell is the byproduct of an approaching cold front, which breaks the back of record breaking highs. Because of all the warm air in place, the cold front will encounter a pretty dynamic environment which to generate swell within. For instance, this system on route to NJ, actually yielded a couple of twisters in Wisconsin-in January-no less! suffice it to say, the clash of the airmasses is responsible, the same upper air battleground that is gonna fuel our wave making efforts. Look for a nice chest to perhaps head high swell for later Wednesday.
Swell #2 comes on Friday with a much better chance of leftovers into Saturday Morning. This system is even more dynamic and features an inch to two inches of rain. However, we will be the recipient of a solid head high swell that will get beat down a bit Friday Night into Saturday. Saturday early should still feature a waist to perhaps chest high swell.
Our wave prospects are looking equally exciting going forward into next week as well-perhaps more surf for Monday! All for now, updates in your Quickcast!
Glad I did ding repair on my winter board!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
1 / 3 / 2008
Near flat surf for the next few days...
Aloha,
Happy New Year! The last week of 2007 turned out to be one of the better and more consistant weeks of the year(I know that's not saying much). Unfortuneatly, 2008 is not continuing the wave bounty which we started in late 2007. An arctic cold front crossed the area yesterday and has left NJ in the deep freeze! This pattern though goes from bone chilling to wave starved! Although the cold shot is short lived, it quickly gets replaced by a Bermuda High setting up off da East Coast(not exactly conducive for surf). This wave killer will quickly warm us back into the 50s by next week, but it also kills any chance of a decent swell.
There is a light at the end of the wave starved tunnel: by the time the 13th/14th rolls around I'm seeing a a nice low develop in Western Georgia. This Southern Stream low will likely produce surf for us as it crusies up the EC. Right now, the track is a tad West, keeping us in the Warm Sector. By this I mean, It looks like a rain event and not a snow maker. Thicknesses are not conducive for snow either...so should be no prob getting to the beach!
All for now, updates as better data rolls in!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
12 / 29 / 2007
A couple more swells before the well runs dry....
Aloha,
My apologies for the delay in Surfcast's! I know how much many of you enjoy reading my ramblings(I enjoy writing 'em too). So, game on in the Surfcast arena! The first swell comes today(Saturday) as the result of a fairly tight presure gradient and a coastal low(fairly weak one) that cruised by through the overnight. As I write, swell size seems to be in the waist to perhaps chest high range, with some clean up still needed. With a late morning high tide and a residual pulse still possible, looks like the afternoon seshie might be the better call.
Okay, swell maker number 2 comes New Years Eve Day(Monday). This is yet another Coastal-which might even bring a little snow with it this time around. This will likely be our last swell maker for at least a week, as the pattern is starting to show serious signs of winter moving in. Granted, that is not always a bad thing, but when the Southern Jet is shelved and cold, Siberian air has a free pass into the lower 48, well that's not good for swell generation!
Moral of the story: get your fill through the holiday weekend, as highs late next week will be in the 20s! Welcome to January!
All for now, updates forthcoming
We ride!!!!
Duke
duke Says: Please sponsor me for SEA Paddle, 2009. Stay tuned for sponsor info-thank you!
